Category Archives: Science

This Brings Me To a 2050 Scenario

A harrowing scenario emerged in May 2019 from the Breakthrough National Centre for Climate Restoration in Australia, written by David Spratt, Research Director and Ian Dunlop, Club of Rome. Retired Admiral Chris Barrie, who introduces the work, quotes Professor Steffan:

“It’s not a technological or a scientific problem – it is a question of humanity’s socio-political values. We need a social tipping point that flips our thinking before we reach a tipping point in the climate system.”

The authors take a harder look at Climate Crisis than their scientific colleagues in the UN and Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. They state emphatically that the existing climate science projections and policy making are too conservative. Instead they explore a 2050 scenario of extreme severity, and show that accelerating climate impacts pose very large negative consequences for humanity. In a succession of scenarios from 2020 – 2050, the authors lay out a disturbing vision of human life becoming extinct in a horrible manner.

They predict that between 2020 – 2030 there is abject failure to act on the evidence. Keeping global warming below a further 2 degrees centigrade is ignored and locks in at 3 degrees of global warming. The global heat wave in the summer of 2019 has already increased warming and the lock in of 3 degrees looms closer. From 2030 onwards carbon-cycle feedbacks are beyond predictions so that by 2050 the “hothouse Earth” scenario is realized. The interaction of carbon system feedbacks drive the Earth System Climate so that further warming becomes self-sustaining. The jet stream is destabilized, ecosystems collapse and there is nowhere for relocating billions of people. The sheer scale of predicted destruction is beyond any capacity to model. Outright chaos is all that remains due to catastrophic climate emergencies from 2020 – 2050.

Their bottom line is that a zero-emissions industrial system must be built immediately. And this requires a global use of resources akin to a wartime level of response – something like the Marshall Plan after World War 11 or even a global Green New Deal. Both options are not enough, as they ignite severe political partisanship around the world. Climate science has shown that current projections will likely bring about a further 3 degrees Celsius – a catastrophic explosion across the globe. Without radical change, Spratt and Dunlop’s scenario is a glimpse of outright chaos creating the end of human civilization and modern society. Naomi Klein argues in her 2019 book – “On Fire” – that something like a Green New Deal is a radical change that could transform our economies to meet the Paris Accord protocols.

To conclude – we have a decade to change the present predictions.

http://ianprattis.com/ShatteredEarth.html

 

48 Minute Interview about “Shattered Earth: Approaching Extinction”

I enjoyed the depth of this interview with Robert Sharpe. The conversation rested on specific questions.

  1. YOUR NEW BOOK “SHATTERED EARTH: APPROACHING EXTINCTION” INVOKES AN ALERT. IS THE EARTH OR OUR WORLD COMING TO AN END?
  1. WHAT IS THE MESSAGE YOU ARE TRYING TO CONVEY TO YOUR READERS?
  2. WHAT CAN WE DO TO AVOID IT?
  3. WHAT MEASURES CAN WE TAKE NOW?
  4. IS IT AN INDIVIDUAL THING OR A GOVERNMENT THING?
  5. COLLECTIVELY WHAT CAN WE DO?
  6. AS INDIVIDUALS WHAT CAN WE DO ABOUT CLIMATE CRISIS?
  7. WHAT IS THE 2050 SCENARIO?
  8. WHAT IS SIGNIFICANT ABOUT ANCIENT WISDOM AND INDIGENOUS WAYS?

Listen here to the conversation: https://www.blogtalkradio.com/biteradiome/2019/12/05/shattered-earth-approaching-extinction-with-dr-ian-prattis

 

Should the interview catch your interest, take a look at the Cover, Overview, Foreword, Testimonials, Q&A, and Order of the book – go to the URL on my website – http://ianprattis.com/ShatteredEarth.html

The ORDER tab takes you to Amazon (soon to Indigo), and to the Author’s stack of books. Using the latter option you can buy an autographed book that comes with a bonus – a FREE prior book as a thank you.

KEY WORDS: “Visionary, Mindfulness, Sustainability, Guidance, Gaia, Eco-dharma, New Paradigms, Authentic, Ethical Framework, Analytically Rigorous, Spiritual Warrior, Hero’s Journey, Community Activism, Futuristic, Climate Emergency, Extinction Rebellion, Gandhi, Martin Luther King, Marshall Plan, Political Leaders, Impermanence, Extinction, Darkness, Awakening, Ancient Wisdom, Climate Strike, Eco-cide, Abrasive, Wisdom, Truth, Demise, Reverence, Brilliant, Lotus Revolution, Sixth Sun, Grounded-ness, Bone-chilling, Captivating.

 

Incredible Review for Shattered Earth

Jana Begovic, Poet, Author, Contributing Editor of “Ariel Chart Literary Journal”

In this political and economic climate of climate emergency, Prattis’ book Shattered Earth reflects Toni Morrison’s statement that there is no time for despair, delay, self-pity or fear, but it is time for artists to go to work. And Prattis does just that. His allegiance is to the truth, to our ravaged planet writhing in agony. He paints a bleak portrait of today’s reality in which the corporate world uses its unbridled power and wealth to resist and denigrate ruthlessly any environmental movement in order to keep the privileged status quo for itself, regardless of the devastating current and future consequences.

Dr. Prattis is a recipient and bearer of the ancestral wisdom, He shines the light on what is important for our survival, and that of the generations to come, on the urgency with which we ought to act while there is still a glimmer of hope left before it is too late. If humankind wants to survive, it needs to unite in this very late hour, and attempt to reverse the human greed, callousness and cruelty inflicted upon Earth. The powerful, sobering and timely message of this book should be shared far and wide.

http://ianprattis.com/ShatteredEarth.html

 

URL for “Shattered Earth: Approaching Extinction”

Dear friends and gentle people,

Would you be so kind as to forward the URL for my latest book to your friends and networks?

“Shattered Earth: Approaching Extinction” opens with Chapter One – A Candid Look at the Future of Planet Earth. It lays out the corruption of the fossil fuel cabal, the ignored science and the consequences of releasing CO2 into the atmosphere. It continues with The Children and Extinction Rebellion (XR), Impermanence and appeals to Indigenous threads of sanity. Ottawa friends can get a signed copy from my home with a bonus – one prior book for FREE with each purchase. Email me at iprattis@bell.net or use Messenger on Facebook for directions.

The URL on my website – ianprattis.com – has COVER, OVERVIEW, FOREWORD, TESTIMONIALS, Q&A, ORDER BOOK for Shattered Earth. It directs attention to the future of humanity and the planet.  http://ianprattis.com/ShatteredEarth.html provides direct purchase to Amazon and soon to Indigo, in addition to the FREE book bonus option through the author. The latter is the best deal! If you go to Amazon or Indigo – please consider leaving a review once you have perused my latest scribbling.

All blessings,

Ian

Foreword for “Shattered Earth: Approaching Extinction.”

My soon to be released book “Shattered Earth: Approaching Extinction”  opens with Chapter One – A Candid Look at the Future. It lays out the corruption of the fossil fuel cabal, the ignored science and the consequences of releasing CO2 into the atmosphere. It continues with The Children and Extinction Rebellion (XR), Impermanence and Extinction and appeals to Indigenous threads of sanity.

I expect the books to be delivered by the end of October. Ottawa friends can get a copy from my home with a bonus – one prior book for FREE with each purchase. Email me at iprattis@bell.net or use Messenger on Facebook for directions. There will soon be a URL that directs you to my website – http://www.ianprattis.com – this enables purchase to Amazon or Indigo, in addition to the FREE book bonus option through the author. The URL features are – Cover, Overview, Prologue, Excerpt, Testimonials, Q&A, Order Book.

FOREWORD by Michael B. Davie

Author Dr. Ian Prattis opens Shattered Earth in the not too distant future with a futuristic analysis of Climate Change and “the inevitable fate provided by the suicide pact engineered by corrupt corporations for most of humanity.”

From there, the award-winning writer examines destructive environmental trends and practices and explores ways to protect and preserve planet Earth.

Dr. Prattis employs a skillful blending of fiction, non-fiction and biographical narratives to effectively convey his message in a thought-provoking, reader-engaging manner.

Shattered Earth provides both a big-picture look at our planet’s environment in crisis along with a more individualistic-personal perspective, evident in his own experiences shared throughout this book.

This is also particularly evident in my own favorite section of Shattered Earth: The enthralling Part Three – Hello Darkness, a superbly written collection of fictional short stories, exploring everything from a broken lover’s loss of his self-created nurturing relationship-environment and subsequent encounter with a violent ocean environment; to a loner’s strong desire to save his natural environment from being destroyed by big developer bulldozers; to an act of arson; to an old man braving an incredibly harsh environment to save the life of a child – small-picture stories of  individuals engaged in environmental interaction.

Shattered Earth is a joy to read with an underlying message that we need to treat ourselves, our neighbours and our planet with much more care and concern – if you weren’t an environmentalist on starting this book, you will be by the time you finish reading it.

– Michael B. Davie, publisher-president, Manor House.

 

Indigenous Ways

My soon to be released book “Shattered Earth: Approaching Extinction” has a final section that draws on Indigenous Wisdom. Look for the book at the end of the month. If in Ottawa – get a signed copy from me.

PART FOUR – ALL MY RELATIONS: ANCIENT WISDOM

My long encounter with Ancient Wisdom enabled my heart and mind to expand in a manner that astonished me. I absorbed the significance of the Earth Mother and saw clearly how humanity neglected the basic respect for all that sustains us. Indigenous cycles of harvesting the Earth were based on an ethic of planning seven generations into the future. Such an ethic is not found in modern society. Indigenous wisdom the world over knows that protecting the Earth is primary to care for ourselves and all species. The era of Climate Crisis and Extinction is not a surprise to them.

My approach to life comes through experience, crises, difficulties and joys that may have common ground with many readers. I was gifted with mentors in the desert, training with sages in ashrams in India and the Ancient Wisdom of Indigenous cultures.  My intensive training in different traditions enabled me to better understand the processes of transformation. There was a lot of mud in my seasons, yet that mud provided the necessary compost to cultivate surprisingly accurate insights. Thus, I was able to anticipate the hard core of Extinction by first of all developing Impermanence. And just why do I – do we – need all of this? It is so we may emerge as the new leaders for the 21st century.

I introduce Sacred Stalker in Chapter 10 and in Chapter 11: Medicine Mentors- my indigenous education. Chapter 12: The Transfer Particle is a futuristic story about Hopi mysticism for a new planet. Chapter 13: The Forest provides a short, sharp finale about my intentions.

Shattered Earth: Approaching Extinction

This is my 18th book – the most difficult yet. It is about our broken world – particularly with respect to the impending Extinction brought about by Climate Emergency. The difficulty for me has been the darkness of Extinction despite the pacifying alternative of Impermanence. The testimonials blew me away – here are a few.

Claudiu Murgan, Author – Ian Prattis’s previous books – Failsafe: Saving the Earth From Ourselves; New Planet New World, and Our World is Burning – should be part of our schools’ curriculum. Shattered Earth makes no exception. It has an abrasive message for those that still don’t want to understand that the existing ecological balance is broken and only a sudden halt of the destructive actions fueled by greed and power could dim down the effects. A must read for all that care about their legacy.

Jana Begovic, Contributing Editor of “Ariel Chart Literary Magazine.”- …..Dr. Prattis is a recipient and bearer of the ancestral wisdom, He shines the light on what is important for our survival, and that of the generations to come, on the urgency with which we ought to act while there is still a glimmer of hope left before it is too late. If humankind wants to survive, it needs to unite in this very late hour, and attempt to reverse the human greed, callousness and cruelty inflicted upon Earth. This powerful, sobering and timely message of this book should be shared far and wide before it is too late.

Anita Rizvi, Therapist – Shattered Earth: Approaching Extinction is humankind peering into a broken mirror and seeing the stark reality of Climate Emergency reflected there. Without leniency, Dr. Prattis forewarns of a world with ‘no beauty rising from the ashes’ should we stay on our present course. Amidst the desolate and barren narrative described so beautifully in this book, a solution is born in the mud pits. Civilization can set a new course that will allow our natural state of interconnectedness to emerge.  Shattered Earth is brilliant and asks something of each of us – to become part of the only force that can jointly topple the creators of Climate Emergency. With Dr. Prattis there, it is time for the Lotus Revolution.

The book will be released at the end of October 2019. Copies can be picked up at my home in Ottawa with a bonus. With each purchase you can take home – FREE – any one of my prior books. Email iprattis@bell.net

Amazon Rainforest Burning in Brazil

My latest book – Shattered Earth: Approaching Extinction – is being released this fall by Manor House. 13 chapters, Four Parts. The present situation in Brazil is addressed in Chapter One: A Candid Look at the Future of Planet Earth. 

Excerpt from my first chapter of Shattered Earth: Approaching Extinction –

“Furthermore, the Economist Journal on August 1, 2019 published “Deathwatch for the Amazon,” which is collapsing ecologically. A process hastened by Brazil’s President. The drastic wildfires in the summer of 2019 were dismissed by President Bolsonaro as being set by NGO’s opposing him. There was no evidence. Even worse was the statement that his government lacked the resources to fight the record number of wildfires in the region – home to three million species of plants and animals and one million indigenous people. It has been a long war promoted by agribusinesses and the Brazilian government against the indigenous population. The Amazon rain forest was a major buffer to rabid Global Warming. That prevention has now been compromised, as rain forest degradation has major impacts for Climate Emergency. Amazon indigenous communities have suffered from violent and oppressive treatments in the name of development.”

SHATTERED EARTH: Approaching Extinction

My latest book – SHATTERED EARTH: Approaching Extinction – will be published this fall, 2019, by Manor House. It has 13 chapters and 4 Parts.

Part One – Broken Glass

  1. A Candid Look at the Future of Planet Earth
  2. The Children and Extinction Rebellion (XR)

Part Two – Facing Extinction: Moving Mind and Heart

  1. Impermanence and Extinction
  2. Through Nine Year Old Eyes
  1. Transformation in India

Part Three – Hello Darkness

  1. Love Lost and Dark Shadows
  1. Solace of Winter
  2. Torched
  3. The Ewe

Part Four – All My Relations: Ancient Wisdom

  1. Medicine Mentors
  2. Sacred Stalker
  3. The Transfer Particle
  4. The Forest

About The Author’s Works

Here is a description of the first part.

PART ONE – BROKEN GLASS

Broken Glass is a metaphor for the broken cycles of Climate Systems that place humanity in dire straits. Chapter One – A Candid Look at the Future of Planet Earth – is indeed candid, brutal and dark. It begins with a futuristic analysis of Climate Change and the inevitable fate provided by the suicide pact engineered by corrupt corporations for most of humanity.The futuristic view is sent back from the year 2080. It is not an uplifting account, even when it reverts to present time and reveals how unready humanity is to encounter Climate Emergency.

Chapter Two is about The Children and Extinction Rebellion (XR). The essay opens with the Children’s Strike for Climate instigated by Greta Thunberg. I admire this magnificent young Swedish woman as she impacts generations and many politicians. Yet, the corporate oligarchy will not budge from their greed and power. They have already bought and sold governments. They will certainly gut the possibility of restraint with respect to Climate Change, thereby dashing the bravery of children worldwide. The emergence of Extinction Rebellion, a global grassroots environmental organization that emulates Gandhi and Martin Luther King’s adherence to non-violent protest is a disruption I fully support. Their target is the existing political establishment at the beck and call of corporate cabals.

These global protest movements intend to motivate citizens, parliaments and industry to implement massive measures to ameliorate the impacts of Climate Emergency. However, powerful financial interests, the creators of Climate Change, will not allow their power and control to slip away. They are better organized than us; they control the media and have the wealth to usurp any coalition that threatens their power. This could escalate to the collapse of societies amidst violent revolution.

 

CLIMATE CHANGE AND EXTINCTION

Ian Prattis, Professor Emeritus, Carleton University, Ottawa, Canada.

Climate Change and Extinction

Are we too late to chart a Beginning Anew for humanity? Can we engineer a communal Hero’s Journey to reconstruct society based on ecology, caring and sharing, while power elites ignore their complicity in the destruction of life on Planet Earth? Let us face it – the Industrial Growth Civilization is a system devouring itself, dislocating the organic structures of Mother Earth to the point that all species, not just our own, are at risk. It has taken us to a dangerous precipice. From there we stare into the abyss of climate change, ecosystem collapse, ISIL, resource wars, terrorism, white supremacy, permanent refugees and anarchy. Are we at an end game without a philosophy for the future?

How could the human mind capable of monumental achievements neglect the destruction of a lived-in-ecosystem? Our addictive dependence on carbon based energy propelled the downward spiral of devastation on our planet. The process was enabled because we allowed the environment to become an extension of human egocentric needs and values, an ego-sphere rather than an eco-sphere. In this ego-sphere we consume mindlessly in the global economy without regard for ecosystem balance; without any concern about creating inequality, poverty and ecosystem imbalance. Planetary care is not part of this agenda.

In the 1980s it was possible to make the leap to a zero-net-carbon world. Yet the opposite trajectory was chosen with a rapid increase in greenhouse gases, as wealthy nations and oil, gas and coal enterprises doubled their production of fossil fuels. We have had the scientific knowledge since 1980 to create the solution, but the obstacles were not technical or scientific. The obstacles are the attitudes, values and concepts that define the dominance of corporate values. Their bottom line of profits was upheld by successive governments that devalued science. It was never about the unanimity of science. It was about the brand of economics favored by the carbon cabal of extraordinary power that held governments in their thrall. The focus on the bottom line of economic wealth at all costs was very stupid. Big Oil and government created propaganda campaigns to promote oil and gas extraction, irrespective of the damage caused to ecosystems and populations. They produced false images of reforestation, utmost safety, deep concern for wildlife, populations and clean water. This played to receptive audiences yet decades later we find rivers and lakes occupying a wasteland. Oil derivatives swiftly poured through interconnected waterways. Indigenous populations world-wide that once augmented their households with fish, game and forest products are no more. They either relocated or died. This effectively torpedoed any form of transition to a sustainable, renewable economy.

Did anyone notice that degradation of the Earth’s ecology was the catalyst for radical Climate Change? Food crops were destroyed by horrendous heat waves as carbon dioxide poured into the atmosphere. Did no-one realize that food riots and world panic trace back to one cause, the economic agenda of fossil fuel extraction? The undercover deal between governments and fossil extraction corporations was invested in political and economic structures that centered on that same carbon combustion complex. This collective agenda destabilized world order.

Nathaniel Rich’s brilliant essay (NYT Magazine August 5, 2018) shows clearly that there was a decisive possibility – forty years ago – for a turning point. Only it was never taken. A small group of scientists, politicians and activists in America came to a broad understanding of the causes and dynamics of climate change. Put directly – the scientists had realized that the more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, then the warmer Earth would become and in doing so – it would trigger a violent atmospheric wrecking of the planet. In 1979 they placed their findings and consensus to the highest levels of government and industry in the United States and around the world. The scientists included James Hansen – NASA climate studies; Gordon MacDonald – geophysicist; Jule Charney – meteorologist; Steve Schneider – environmental biologist; George Woodall – ecologist and many more world class scientists. Politicians such as Al Gore and lobbyist Rafe Pomerance took the scientific findings to the White House and to energy giants such as Exxon. The latter were distinctly uncomfortable about how much they would be blamed for climate change. Despite their early support, the energy giants quickly turned the dialog to finding mouthpieces that could state that the scientific findings were not translatable into global disasters.

The scientists, however, attempted to divert the catastrophe with a clear grasp of what was causing Climate Change. Their lobbying was straightforward from their meticulous scientific findings. Their emphasis to politicians and industry was about the freezing of carbon emissions and the development of alternative energy that did not create carbon dioxide. At that time, some forty years ago, it seemed to be a good idea to many world leaders. A consensus based plan, however, would not happen without American leadership. The United States was the obvious nation to lead such an outcome. It failed to do so, much to the chagrin and reputation of the scientists, as their findings were censored and belittled. They then became targets that the carbon cabal sought to undermine.

The evidence, however, was drastic. In 1990 more than 20 billion metric tons of carbon dioxide was placed in the atmosphere from fossil fuels. By 2018 it is in excess of 32.5 billion metric tons, accompanied by the deadly tsunamis, earthquakes, tornadoes, sea level inundations and water surges destroying low lying coastal regions of the planet. In 2019 Harvard Professor James Anderson asserts that present Earth carbon levels were last found in the Eocene Epoch – 33 million years ago. Due to present warming oceans he speculates that the amount of water vapor now in the atmosphere triggers storm systems that are violent to the extreme. This is now amplified by the breaking up of the Ross Ice Shelf, which stabilizes the West Antarctic Ice sheet. It is now melting 10 times faster than average and will soon be unable to block other glaciers. As it weakens, rising sea levels of several meters are to be expected. The obvious knock-on invitation is to create even more destructive cyclones, tsunamis and tornadoes that will destroy human habitation along with other species. Professor Anderson also notes, somewhat dryly, that while the sea-level rise is irreversible, university administrators still refuse to divest from fossil fuels! They prefer to join executives of the carbon cabal and media, which fail to fact-check statements made by politicians and corporate oligarchs.

The creature which enabled such an outcome is none other than fossil fuel industries supported by successive government regimes. This collusion successfully suppressed science, confused public knowledge with misinformation, and furthermore beefed up the blatant bribery of politicians. The carbon energy cabal funded million dollar disinformation campaigns. They paid select scientists to distort the truth and state that there was an uncertainty factor to the likely outcome of climate change – if indeed climate change existed at all! Oil and gas executives – and their billionaire backers – protected their profits, downplayed scientific conclusions as “uncertain” and deliberately dulled the intelligence of the general public. Their design was to control, delay and block binding climate change endeavors. Their pathetic, yet successful, message was to reframe climate change as a “dual energy challenge!”

In the spring of 2019 the UN committee on Biodiversity and Environmental Science issued a startling video with a report over 1,000 pages, which showed that one million of the planet’s species were facing rapid extinction from humans. The 145 experts were drawn from 50 countries. The 39 page summary places biodiversity alongside climate change and projects that, without co-operative global action, major biodiversity losses will continue to 2050 and beyond. Added to this list are – oceanic overfishing, burning of fossil fuel, land and water pollution and invasive species. Furthermore – three quarters of Earth’s land and 85% of crucial wetlands have been lost, making it harder for other species and us to survive. This 2019 report rings an alarm yet indicates that the world can actually reverse this crisis. A major block to such optimism is that climate denial is a baseline for Republicans in the US. They are unlikely to see any responsibility or reason to co-operate with any global agenda. Along with right wing politicians in many nations their divisiveness does not allow constructive contributions to emerge that can stave off the extinction of species. What is lacking are the practical solutions for government, business and communities. Alarms do not cut it anymore, particularly as drastic planetary change leaves organisms – including us – little time to adapt.

The 2019 UN video and Report confirmed the radical views of Elizabeth Kolbert who wrote The Sixth Extinction in 2014. The six-mile-wide asteroid that slammed into Earth 66 million years ago wiped out the dinosaurs and many other species. This was the fifth time that events almost eradicated life on Earth. The difference between the five prior extinctions on Planet Earth, and the imminent sixth, is that the present extinction is due to humans as the agents of mass destruction. Kolbert makes it very clear that the acceleration of the Sixth Extinction is mainly driven by the consequences of CO2 pouring into the atmosphere. The world is changing faster than species can adapt – and that includes us. Are we likely to rein in our economic growth, our carbon emissions and toxic pollution?  Paul Ehrlich in 2014 wryly states, “In pushing other species to extinction, humanity is busy sawing off the limb on which it perches.”

I do not think the UN in 2019 offered solutions – just alarms, while the world carries on with life as usual.  This is unfortunate as “life as usual” is no longer an option when the carbon cabal holds all the cards. They continue to promote propaganda to the tune of 200 million dollars per year to bring down the “bogus” climate change agenda – and that includes everything that the UN so carefully delivered in the spring of 2019. The corporate oligarchy is clearly criminal as the mass of humanity is presently being wiped out. In spite of the excellent and provocative UN Video and Report in 2019, the carbon cabal maintains a very long arm. Their organization is presently paying selected scientists to promote the position that the existing evidence on climate change does not support crisis warnings. This is a bought and sold lie. Everyone knows the lack of truth – the US government, oil and gas companies, industrialists, politicians and so on – all know the truth. To keep the bottom line of profits in their favor, they are willing to accept that human civilization would be destroyed in the not so far future – a very unusual suicide pact.

I ponder on MLK’s quote: “The hottest place in Hell is reserved for those who remain neutral in times of great moral conflict.”